Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Trading the Wyckoff Terminal Upthrust and Spring Method

Trading in trending markets is very easy and on contrary, trading in side ways market is most challenging. Richard Wyckoff's theories may help trading sideways markets efficiently. His methods define the sideways markets, how and why there are formed and how to trade in side ways markets. Wyckoff Terminal Up-Thrust and Swing is one such methods for trading the range bound markets.

Markets tend to move in both the directions based on the relative compatibility between the bears and bulls. After moving in certain trend, it starts moving in sideways direction to catch a breath, for example, consolidations etc. When markets are in the consolidation mode, trading ranges are formed. Wyckoff defined a techniques called Terminal Up-Thrust and Swing, which has a clear entry, stoploss and exit levels.

Initially a trading range is formed as the supply and demand are in certain equilibrium. Where high of the range is treated as supply line and the low of the range is defined as demand line. Now the trading opportunities are formed in certain criteria specifically like price tries to move above the supply line or below the demand line and unable to sustain. They can provide a good trading opportunity as there is a strong probability of returning into the opposite side of the Accumulation/Distribution ranges.

In Up-Thrust, prices break above the resistance line, and failed to move further up. One can go short in the next confirmation bar, by keeping the high as the stop loss. Price target would be the retest of the lower or support line of the trading range. This kind of false breakout above resistance range is called up-trust, and the bearish candlestick indicator is an invoking opportunity to enter the trade. Opposite of this up-trust is spring where prices give false breakdown from the support trend line and bullish candlestick indicator like hammer or few times a bullish engulfing may also confirm the trading opportunity.



Here in the above example trading range is formed between A and B. There was an up-thrust at “C” where the candle broke the highs of the trading range and failed to hold. The failure brings the bears into action, and the other bearish signal from the candlestick shooting star or doji gives a powerful sell signal, which leads us to the target at the support area.


Here in the above example, at the terminal up-thrust a shooting star and a bearish 123 pattern is formed, helping the down move.

11 comments:

renu on June 17, 2009 at 9:34 AM said...

Hi doji,

Thanks for this beautiful blog,i use to study chart pattern but after going through your blog i came to know about some new patterns like gartley,wolfe wave etc.Keep up the good work.

Regards
Renu

Unknown on June 17, 2009 at 10:35 AM said...

You Really Gr88888 DOJI...
These days my Analysis working...
I learned a lot from your Blog DOJI...

Unknown on June 17, 2009 at 10:36 AM said...

Now a days i do Analysis and Trade with Confidence and dont care about unusual moves just remain strict with Stop Loss and Targets

Rajendra Iyengar on June 17, 2009 at 11:24 AM said...

that was awesome post, i have to read it again to understand it better. Great going doji, keep it up.

SATYAM on June 17, 2009 at 11:34 AM said...

Doji,
Thanx for wonderful explanation. Just trying learn those methods. Just wondering whether today we just got a trade with the help of Wyckoof or not? Is this can be traded as the Wyckoof method?

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2447/3635073216_b48e5bb2ae_o.png

Doji (Blog Author) on June 17, 2009 at 12:06 PM said...

@Renu and Manoj
Thank you very much.

@Rajendran
Its really nice to see you on my blog. Thank you for the appreciation :)

@Satyam
Yes, this one is good one!!! One thing we need to watch out for is a clear trading range must be formed after a sustained move. Because this methods is only for sideways market.

SATYAM on June 17, 2009 at 12:25 PM said...

Thanks a lot Doji! Just wanted to get a sense of the method. Slightly longer time frame chart(5/15min) would provide better range and better trading opportunity!

-Satyam

Doji (Blog Author) on June 17, 2009 at 12:34 PM said...

Very true. As it is, a sideways market wont have any good trading opportunity in smaller time frames.

sara on July 17, 2009 at 7:41 PM said...

Anatomy of Chart patterns is very useful for learners and it help for positional trade.
For day traders if you start a series of chart with your guidance for how to trade and earn minimum of 20 point for a day, that help all the day traders... Hope you accept my request..

Thanks & Regards,
S.Saravanan

Anonymous said...

Thank you for giving me a good idea on how to trade a sideways day. I suppose it is important to give the market some time in the morning to establish its personality. I often want to jump in during the first 10 minutes. But then I don't really know what kind of day it will be.

viju on October 8, 2009 at 11:11 AM said...

Hi doji sorry I wasnt here yesterday. in all scrip I am getting the same problem.Twice I download tick data and twice i imported in Ami.then also i am facing the problem so I cant import 7th oct tick data becoz 6 oct, have some problem thenho can i go to import for 7 oct data.plz guide me doji.

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