Thursday, June 4, 2009

HDIL: Channel embedding a Wolfe Wave embedding an ABCD

This is a very interesting chart of HDIL, in 15 minutes time frame:



Channel:
  • Follow the Aqua coloured (almost) parallel lines are forming a channel
  • Draining volumes during this period show consolidation and support the channel
Bearish Wolfe Wave:
  • Follow the 1-2-3-4-5 marked in Aqua background, forming a Wolfe Wave
  • Good symetry is displayed
  • Supportive volumes at point 5
Bearish ABCD:
  • Follow the A-B-C-D marked in Yellow background, forming ABCD
  • Fib ratios are acceptable, avoided on the chart for clarity
  • Lookout for a bearish signal at the D point. If not, WW above can be treated as a bearish signal for ABCD entry
Conclusion:
All in all, a nice chart with 3 patterns compressed into a single time frame. Because of the Bearish Wolfe Wave and Bearish ABCD, I will be very cautious to enter longs on channel break out. Will go short on an entry signal, possibly during 1st 30 mins of trading day tomorrow. Will try to update entry and stops when I take the trade tomorrow morning, watch out this space.

9 comments:

Nihar on June 4, 2009 at 10:47 PM said...

Hi Doji,
Gr8 post with some good fundas. Learning even at this age!. Now regarding the BG tone, I see that the poll u hv run is quite consistent with my views. Its just that on the main blog u just cant see the charts well but if u open them individually they r fine. So if anything can be done to just lighten them a bit will be ok i guess. Adious

Doji (Blog Author) on June 4, 2009 at 11:30 PM said...

Yes, blogger default is to show small image in the main page and on click will open the original image. Glad to know that the new BG looks fine for you upon opening the original image.

-Doji

SATYAM on June 5, 2009 at 12:11 AM said...

I CANT DO MUCH WITH UR BG OF BLOG TEMPLATE WHEN YOUR ANALYSIS IS WONDERFUL. IT'S CLEAR ,IT'S CORE TECHNICAL. FANTASTIC I MUST SAY. YOUR BLOG HAS MUCH THINGS TO LEARN FROM.

Doji (Blog Author) on June 5, 2009 at 1:22 AM said...

Thank you for your nice words Satyam. I reciprocate the same with your blog :)

SATYAM on June 6, 2009 at 1:34 PM said...

Thank you so much.

SATYAM on June 6, 2009 at 4:55 PM said...

Your Histat website and widgets are the coolest ....simply wow!!!

Rathore on June 6, 2009 at 5:56 PM said...

Hi Doji sir,

Exllent T.A., Pure T.A.
i become big fan of 'The Chart Reader' and 'U'
Sir, present pattern of Nifty Spot is Rising wadge or Ascending Triangle...

Krunal.

Doji (Blog Author) on June 6, 2009 at 8:43 PM said...

Thank you Satyam :)

Doji (Blog Author) on June 6, 2009 at 8:44 PM said...

Hi Krunal,

Thank you very much for you appreciation.
Also, if you mention the time frame, it will be better. Present pattern in nifty is expanding triangle, with sustained volumes. Below is the chart.

http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/8154/nfexpandingtriangle.png

-Doji

PS: Call me Doji, no sir/madam please.

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