Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Cup and Handle in DLF,L&T and Nifty Futures

After the dramatic move of 18th May, some of the scrips slided down & consolidated with low volumes and then slowly moved up forming the rounding pattern. From past 2 days, consolidation can be seen with low volumes, which is acting like handle to the rounding bottom (Cup). Break out from the handle resistance line with good volumes will give confirmation to the pattern. Stop loss should be at the handle low - filter.

About Cup and Handle Patterns: Cup and Handle or Rounding Bottom acts as a good accumulation pattern. The gradual down move of the price with decreasing volumes shows that the selling pressure is reducing. At the center, the price is lowest with low volumes as the supply and demand are balanced. As the demand increases price slowly moves up with the volumes expanding. At the peak again high volumes show the climatic demand. If the supply increases dramatically and the prices are coming down with high volumes then this may form as double top pattern. If the prices are moving down slowly or consolidating sideways with low volumes then it indicates that supply is diminishing.

When the fresh buying starts volumes increases significantly and the new highs are made, as the sellers at the previous top close there positions and new buyers coming in, causing the price to zoom up. This pattern works as a continuation as well as reversal (inverted cup and handle) and has a very good risk-reward ratio.

DLF: Price pattern is good with bowl shaped volumes support. Below is the DLF chart


L&T: Price pattern is good with bowl shaped volumes support. Below is the L&T chart


Nifty Futures: Price pattern is good, but the volumes are not increasing in the up move. Most of the times, Nifty up move is necessary for the success of the others scrips. Below is the Nifty futures 15 min chart.


There are some more scrips which formed Cup and Handle Pattern, please post if any one find them and like to discuss.

2 comments:

Ilango on June 3, 2009 at 6:25 AM said...

Hi..

Icici Bank & Reliance seem to be completing the cup & Handle pattern and are ready to break out.

SBI & Sail broke out yesterday from the cup & Handle pattern and on their way up.

I usually see waves when I see charts. Now learning to see patterns.

Essar oil having unusual volume on two down days but stuck in 162 to 180 range now. What are your thoughts on them.

Best regards.

ilango

Doji (Blog Author) on June 3, 2009 at 11:21 AM said...

Yes sir reliance and ICICI bank are ready to give break out. SBI is looking good as it closed above the resistance line.

Essaroil: It formed a symmetric triangle, gave a break down on 29th but failed to move further down! Took support from the triangle low and moved up today with good volumes. I think it may see up move above Rs.188. I am putting my chart here.

http://img91.imageshack.us/img91/2213/essaroil1.png

Regarding Sail, it is in an expanding triangle, should be little cautious. But breakout with good volumes can be tradable. Below is the chart:

http://img4.imageshack.us/img4/5230/sailexpandingtriangle1.png

Post a Comment

 

The Chart Reader Copyright © 2009. Privacy Policy